It is more troublesome to gauge probabilities in trading. You must understand developments and recognize tendencies properly; you must understand moves of this current market. And you do not have any numbers. You can not say that you have for example 56% to win profit current commerce. Moreover each dealer estimates the sector otherwise. 1 dealer will declare that current marketplace is very good but different dealer can declare that the identical market in an identical period is awful for him. And both can be right due to the fact they can have different trading strategies.